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Afternoon Note

Lots of Data

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
1/18/2017 1:55 PM

The markets are relatively flat as investors wait to hear Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s comments at 3 p.m. ET.  There is lots of data out today, and may provide more support for rate hikes if inflation and rising prices continue at the current pace. 

U.S. industrial production rose 0.8% in December after falling 0.7% in November, the biggest jump in two years due in part to the largest increase in utilities (up 6.6%) since 1989 as temperatures normalized after November’s unseasonable warm weather.  Manufacturing was up 0.2%, and while mining production was flat in December after having been down for 6 quarters, it surged 11.9% in the 4th quarter and was up 3.4% annually.  

Segment

M/M

Y/Y

Consumer Goods

+1.1

+1.5

Business Equipment

+0.7

+0.8

Construction

-0.3

-0.2%

Materials

+1.0%

+0.2%

 

Industrial production is still rather soft and slipped to annual rate of 0.6% in the fourth quarter, while year over year, it increased 0.5%.

United States Industrial Production

Overall, capacity utilization rose to 75.5%. Capacity utilization increased 0.6% in December for the industrial sector, but is 4.5% below its long-run average (1972-2015 average), and was up 0.1% for the manufacturing sector, 3.7% below its long-run average.    

On the consumer front, the U.S. Consumer Price Index was in line for December with an increase of 0.3%.  Prices for gasoline and rent attributed to the largest year over year increase in CPI, up 2.1%, since May 2014, and above the Fed’s target of 2%.   

Also in economic news was the latest homebuilder sentiment read from the National Association of Home Builders, down 2 points in January from the 6 point bump up in December, and now stands at 67 compared to 61 in the prior year period.

Goldman Sachs and United Health have lead the Dow lower, with the S&P and Nasdaq barely in the green. Advancers trail decliners slightly today 1397/1414 on the NYSE and 1375/1462 on the Nasdaq.  While the market rally attempt fell short for the DJIA, I like the chances of it closing higher today more than I did yesterday, in part to earnings and news of the confirmation hearings.

Let’s keep our powder dry for the remainder of the session.


Comments
Watched part of the senate hearing today and frankly our Federal legislative branch has gone completely nuts. All they do is engage in partisan rhetoric and posturing. If do don't enact Term Limits this Country is doomed.

Garro on 1/18/2017 3:26:42 PM
Ever wonder why inflation goes up just after the interest rate is raised?

Hint - look at the Carter administration

Gary Lloyd Fox on 1/18/2017 4:19:00 PM
 

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