Wall Street Strategies
Hello! Sign in or Register


Market Commentary

Tough Sledding out the Gate

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
9/28/2015 12:47 PM

Markets stumbled out of the gate and remain under pressure as more and more economic data disappoints.

Pending home sales were -1.4% in August from July, but +6.1% from a year ago.  On both counts, a disappointment.   Contracts signed continue to increase year over year, but at a sequentially slower pace.  It’s somewhat ominous, although it could be offset with improving mortgage applications.  I think the biggest problem in addition to punk wages and big hurdles to getting bank loans is the fact prices rebounded too fast.

Ironically, better-than-expected consumer spending has been lost in the market session.  The Dow is nearing a very crucial support point at 16,000.  This promised to be a difficult week with downside momentum and the upcoming jobs report.  The Market must make a stand or it could re-test the recent lows.


Comments
A key question is: what is actually happening in China? My research suggests that the real problem is that they are heading off the cliff population-wise. They've already aborted about 400 million in their under-37 population. Meanwhile, their huge older population is fast heading toward elderdom. By 2050, that group will be largely passed on. But the 400 million aborted won't be around to raise another generation. Plus they have at least 40 million excess males who don't have a prayer of ever getting married. By 2050, it looks like their total population will be down dramatically to as low as 650 to 850 million. It's still a big country, but economic growth over the next 35 years has to be dismal when it comes to consumer demand. Even if they wake up and suspend their 1-child policy, they just don't have enough women in their child-bearing years to sustain growth. We have a similar problem, but not nearly on the same scale they do. Lets face it: babies make for strong economic growth. Look what the Baby Boomers did for us from 1945 until 2000!

Dennis Howard on 9/28/2015 5:51:46 PM
 

Log In To Add Your Comment


Home | Products & Services | Education | In The Media | Help | About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use |
All Rights Reserved.

 

×