Wall Street Strategies
Hello! Sign in or Register


Afternoon Note

Housing > Greece

By Jennifer Coombs, Research Analyst
6/16/2015 1:34 PM

The early trading session looked to be another case of déjà vu, until some very positive US housing data prevented another market meltdown. The European Union (EU) is about to take matters into its own hands and is looking to bring capital controls to Greece. It was reported in a German newspaper that the EU governments will push to prevent money from leaving Greek banks if there is no deal agreed to by the end of this week. The capital controls would limit the amount of cash that could be taken out of ATMs, as well as abroad, and be similar to those imposed on Cyprus back in 2013. So far, the major equity indices are holding up well, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has made it back in positive territory for 2015.

Compared to yesterday, the economic calendar was relatively empty save for one very important reading that compliments yesterday’s strong data from the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) builder confidence index. While the headline is a bit deceiving, the housing starts and permits data for the month of May points to a very strong recovery in the US housing sector. Housing starts for the month came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 1.036 million, which is down 11.1% from April, however the April rate which was already a reading for the record books, was revised even higher to 1.165 million. The revision resulted in a whopping 22.1% gain over March – no, that’s not a misprint. Sealing the deal for this report is another massive surge in housing permits, which jumped 11.8% to a SAAR of 1.275 million after a 9.8% gain in April. This is one report that is sure to have economists revising the Q2-2015 gross domestic product (GDP) estimates, and the reading for the Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEIs), even higher. Permits are the biggest indicator in the report, and the latest rate is the best in nearly eight years! Gains are concentrated in the Northeast and Midwest, which are actually the two smallest US housing regions. When it comes to starts, the monthly decline is spread out across all four regions. This is one big tick in the pros column for the US housing sector, as well as the overall economy. Many suspected that the space would recover following a first quarter that was very depressed by severe winter weather. On the other hand, this is another major point of contention for the hawks in the Fed, and we expect Janet Yellen to discuss the gains in housing in her speech tomorrow afternoon.

 


Comments
California's real estate prices are again spiraling upwards to fast. The prices are not commensurate with earnings and it is curious how the buyers can afford the monthly payments since half or more of the state's population is on some type of federal or state subsidy. It doesn't help that FHA rolled back to pre 2005 lending practices in terms of downpayments. As goes Ca. so goes the country. Look out below!

Russ on 6/17/2015 10:33:22 AM
exactlty, what Russ said, the people buying houses are getting SUB PRIME LOANS, and theyre will be a dead reconecking to come

Joe Cayman on 6/26/2015 12:22:30 AM
 

Log In To Add Your Comment


Home | Products & Services | Education | In The Media | Help | About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use |
All Rights Reserved.

 

×