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Afternoon Note

Euro Worries Leading Selloff

By Jennifer Coombs, Research Analyst
2/9/2015 1:50 PM

Although the trading session is light on economic data releases and earnings, this continues to be a volatile session. Uncertainty in the geopolitical realm appeared to be the culprit behind the selloff, even as the press conference with President Obama and German Chancellor Merkel was being televised. The primary focus of the meeting between the US and Germany is centered on Russia and Ukraine, however there’s a bigger problem in the Eurozone. Greece’s new, leftist prime minister is not accepting an extension to Greece’s bailout, which is in turn setting up an anticipated clash with most European leaders. If Greece is going to be forced out of the Eurozone, it is inevitable that other countries will follow. As such, concerns over the stability of the euro are causing global markets to selloff.

Economic data was extremely light during today’s session; however there was one lesser-known release that goes hand-in-hand with the jobs report from Friday. While there was improvement in the jobs market in January, the Federal Reserve’s Labor Market Conditions Index, which weighs 19 different economic indicators, dropped to a reading of 4.9 in January. This is substantially lower than the revised 7.3 reading in December and the lowest reading since September 2014. The Federal Reserve doesn’t offer commentary on monthly moves in the index, but in a separate reading from the Conference Board, it noted that its employment trend index rose to 127.9 in January, up from 127.2 in December, a 7.6% gain from the same month one year ago. Ultimately, this reading notes that strong job growth is likely to continue through the first half of the year. So the results remain conflicting. The chart below shows that the outlook has failed to show any major optimistic outlook beyond the recession.


Comments
The EU was a terrible mistake, they
need the old borders if only for
security. Financially, the EU is
a hand grande with the pin pulled.
Greece could be the pin....Boom

tom wayne on 2/9/2015 3:24:16 PM
Obama pussyfooting it with Putin, Iran, and ISIS all at the same time makes this period a lot shakier than it was with Chamberlain and Hitler before WWII when I was just a kid. By the way, there's nothing new about our problems with the Muslim world. We're just seeing Chapter 2 of what happened the first time they tried to take over the known world. By the year 732, when Charles Martel stopped them at Tours, they had already taken over more territory than Alexander the Great, making him the captain of the Jayvee team. Obama's got his history all wrong. If Iran gets nuclear weapons, we're in for it, and so is Israel.

Dennis Howard on 2/9/2015 5:43:35 PM
 

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