Morning Commentary
The stock market continues to take its cue from the military action (or inaction) between Russia and Ukraine, and to the lesser extent, from how we are dealing with ISIS (bombs away), and I love it! But, how long can Wall Street continue whistling past the graveyard when it comes to a potential explosion of violence across America? Scenes from Ferguson, Missouri are numbing for many reasons, still, in the back of everyone’s mind, it is the new reality. America has become a powder keg; all that is needed is a spark and fanning of flames. The most critical component of discontent is the lack of income and an inability for people to make life better. St. Louis is a prime example of how hard times have been for everyone since the start of the Great Recession… median incomes have collapsed.
While the employment picture has stabilized in the last couple of years, the quality of jobs has resulted in a 23% decline in wages and this year, unemployment among young black and Hispanics surged into the summer.
The US Conference of Mayors point out that income inequality has increased in two thirds of the nation’s 350 metropolitan areas. Yet, the solutions aren’t market-oriented, nor do they take into account where the growth of great jobs will be in the next decade. Instead here’s what politicians will propose:
These are all artificial and make things worse, not better. They mask real crisis and put more pressure on government to do for individuals what capitalism normally forces them to do for themselves: adapt, gut it out, and evolve. Capitalism makes us get better, unlike unlimited unemployment benefits and other transfer payments from government.
Transfer Payment 2011
$1.800 trillion
$0.421 trillion
$2.221 trillion
Select Transfer Payment 2007 to 2011 |
Non-Metro |
Metro |
Unemployment Compensation |
+163% |
+207% |
SNAP |
+100% |
+121% |
On Sunday, Rev Al Sharpton said that if the government has millions of dollars to militarize Ferguson’s police force, then it has millions of dollars to create jobs for young people… The fact is simple: the government does not create jobs, it creates the backdrop where jobs can grow or decline. In fact, we’re living in the prime example of how the government can destroy prosperity. We need good jobs and people with the right skills to do those jobs. Any other solution offered would not only prolong the problem, but also make it larger in the future.
Today’s Session
Equities are edging higher pre-open as they were given a lift by earnings from Home Depot (HD) and to lesser degree, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS). We have a few different economic data releases today that may move the market including retail sales, the July Consumer Price Index (CPI), housing starts, and building permits.
Company |
Ticker |
EPS (Actual) |
EPS (Est) |
EPS 1-Year Ago |
Rev (Actual $M) |
Rev (Est $M) |
Rev Y/Y % |
Urban Outfitters |
URBN |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.51 |
$ 811.30 |
$ 805.68 |
7.0% |
Dick's Sporting Goods |
DKS |
0.67 |
0.66 |
0.71 |
$ 1,688.90 |
$ 1,654.11 |
10.3% |
Elizabeth Arden |
RDEN |
-1.04 |
-0.38 |
0.10 |
$ 191.70 |
$ 241.64 |
-28.4% |
Home Depot |
HD |
1.52 |
1.44 |
1.24 |
$ 23,811.00 |
$ 23,608.98 |
5.7% |
Medtronic |
MDT |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.88 |
$ 4,273.00 |
$ 246.89 |
4.7% |
CPI
Consumer price inflation in July was modest but still looks like its creeping to the upside. Ultimately, this long-term trend is just fuel for the Fed hawks. Consumer prices rose 0.1% in July, which was in-line with expectations, after a strong 0.3% boost in June. Excluding food and energy, the Core CPI gained only 0.1% - the same as in June and coming slightly short of the forecast for +0.2%.
Comments |
Sharpton is always so ready to use OTHER PEOPLE'S MONEY! The government uses OTHER PEOPLE'S MONEY! Charles points this out constantly...the govt makes, creates, sells nothing.....the Govt is the King Kong of the NON PRODUCERS! Wonder who broke Sharpton's crayons in Kindergarten: the reason he has led a life of continually forcing others to pay for, vote for, live like, believe like him! Lesley on 8/19/2014 9:58:16 AM |
We need ACTION! We have plenty of laws! We know what needs to be done! Liberals are better at the fight. they throw the law, truth, out the window and use FEAR to MANAGE us! Aren't you fed up with being MANAGED? Lesley on 8/19/2014 10:02:43 AM |
I just wanted to say thanks for the heads up on holding TASR. It was a big boost. Rich Richard Field on 8/20/2014 8:44:58 AM |
Tweet |
4/24/2024 1:30 PM | Earnings Flood In |
4/24/2024 9:26 AM | BUYING THE DIP |
4/23/2024 1:25 PM | Bloom Off Rose |
4/23/2024 9:32 AM | WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BRAVADO? |
4/22/2024 1:22 PM | Pins and Needles |
4/22/2024 9:30 AM | LIVE BY THE SWORD … |
4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
4/19/2024 9:35 AM | DON’T OVERREACT |
4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
4/9/2024 9:46 AM | NEXT TIME, MAKE IT A HOLIDAY |
4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
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