Morning Commentary
This makes the next 24-hours even more of a nail-biter.
Comments |
NO and I am beginning to not trust CNBC and their euberance. Everything is coming up roses according to them and their pro Abama reporting.... I don't like what I am seeing in the Mid East.....it could blow up in our faces and I have to wonder if the Pentagon is really ready as long as Obama is Commander in Chief...what a laugh..... tom wayne on 7/5/2012 10:02:51 AM |
The employment (NOT unemployment) rate has stabilized and will grow slowly. Employers have increased efficiency and productivity by selectively eliminting their non-producers and integrating efficient production machinery. Lean and mean is the trick. Z on 7/5/2012 10:35:14 AM |
Yes, but so what? The bump won't be much, and we will need to create 300-400K jobs-rate steadily, month after month, year after year to break out of this bad economy. Tomorrow won't even be close. George Stelzenmuller on 7/5/2012 10:46:54 AM |
Auto sales are a good indicator, and the latest seem to reflect a drop of over a million from the annual rate in May. That, combined with the manufacturing slowdown, suggests a worse jobs picture coming. The ADP numbers look like a blip to me. The July numbers should be much more significant. Dennis Howard on 7/5/2012 11:26:04 AM |
I expect long term jobs to stay flat or fall until we have more visibility regarding the outcome in November. If the numbers show that the Obama tax supertanker will get repealed by Republicans taking full control (gain Senate and White House), then we should see a steady climb in hiring. If it appears that Democrats will retain either, then there will be a fundamental shift toward more temporary or contract employees that can be dropped quickly and are not subject to the uncertainty of how an unchecked bureacracy will implement socialized medicine. Certainly, in the long run, companies will not spend anything more on health insurance. They will just continue to degrade employee premiums, deductibles, and co-pays. Before I retired, the corporation I worked for changed the medical coverage so that total premiums (company and employee combined) decreased by ~4%/year for 2 years in a row. They also decreased company share of premiums by ~8% each of those years, thus increasing employee premiums by ~12% each year. This they did while giving raises to the workers which were less than inflation, and raise to upper management that were huge. The bottom line is that given a couple years, Obama-dont-care costs will be circumvented by the big corporations and paid for by the small businesses and individuals. And that cost dumped on the small businesses will prevent any big improvement in employment for years unless it is repealed. And until we know the extent of the damage, there will be little favorable move in the jobs numbers. Bob G on 7/5/2012 11:57:27 AM |
No, but if they do beat expectations, the numbers will again be adjusted down through the subsequent less visible routine revision. Patricia Flynn on 7/5/2012 3:20:44 PM |
Charles, really enjoy watching you on Fox. I saw you today (July 7) on Cavuto and just wanted to let you know there are MILLIONS of us out here who also believe that obama is destroying our economy on purpose. There are two choices-he and his regime are either total morons-or they know that what they're doing can never improve our economy. I don't think they're total morons. Just wanted to let you know that. A lot of people, including Neil-refuse to admit what we know. This is intentional because the far left hates capitalism and the free market. And they want to PROVE that it doesn't work. God bless you-stay strong. Keep fighting the good fight. Dianna Chaney on 7/7/2012 12:58:09 PM |
Flat, at best R. Hoffman on 7/8/2012 11:40:53 AM |
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4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
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4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
4/9/2024 9:46 AM | NEXT TIME, MAKE IT A HOLIDAY |
4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
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