Federal Reserve Beige Book - April 2015
4/16/2015
By Jennifer Coombs
The Federal Reserve released its third of ten Beige Book readings for 2015 on Wednesday, April 15th. The report noted that five of the twelve Fed districts are expanding moderately, and the focus was primarily on the labor markets with conditions either being stable or improving modestly. Overall, the Beige Book is modestly positive but still sluggish, and does not imply that a rate hike will occur anytime soon. Below is a composite table of each of the 12 districts – how did your Fed district fare since March?
Federal Reserve Beige Book – April 2015
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Atlanta
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Boston
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Chicago
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Cleveland
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Conditions improving at a steady pace with mostly positive outlook for next 3-6 months; retail/autos slower due to winter weather; hospitality mixed; new home sales flat to slightly up vs last year; demand for commercial real estate expanding; improvements in lending activity and payrolls; wage pressures low.
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Business activity expanding but not as upbeat; retail, manufacturing and select services all increase revs over last year; commercial real estate improving but residential sales slowed by winter weather, employment demand is slow, prices steady.
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Growth remains moderate; outlook for a similar pace over next 3-6 months; consumer, business, and manufacturing production all increased moderately; construction and real estate activity moderate; credit conditions improving; cost pressures little changed; agriculture commodities fell.
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Expanded at modest pace; manufacturing activity mixed; residential real estate and home prices rose; retail and auto sales better over last year; drilling activity curtailed; freight volumes lower; credit demand higher for business lower for consumers; payrolls unchanged but expect hiring in construction.
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New York
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Richmond
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Kansas City
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St. Louis
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Economic growth slowed to modest pace; selling prices stable, costs higher; labor market slightly improved but with wage pressures, consumer spending weaker; tourism mixed and confidence slipped; stronger loan demand and lower delinquency rates.
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Economy grew modestly outside of manufacturing; winter weather slowed shipments and new orders; retail sales slowed; tourism and loan activity stronger; residential and commercial real estate markets strengthening; agriculture contracts up; labor markets improving; prices mixed.
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Economic activity little changed from March; consumer spending down while tourism slightly up; manufacturing, transportation, and wholesale activity weaker; sharp declines in energy and agriculture soft; modest growth in real estate, loans, pressures and mixed labor conditions.
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Economic growth modest; manufacturing reports have been negative and service sector positive; residential real estate improving while commercial mixed; total loan activity increasing; agricultural activity slow to start due to wet weather conditions.
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Dallas
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Minneapolis
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Philadelphia
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San Francisco
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Moderate growth since March with similar conditions; manufacturing noted steady/increased demand; retail mixed but auto sales positive; real estate activity solid; energy sector still in decline; employment held steady/increased; outlooks cautiously optimistic across all sectors but energy.
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Moderate economic growth; increased activity in consumer spending, commercial & residential construction and professional services; manufacturing and tourism flat; energy, mining, and farming slower; labor markets mixed with modest wage increases; prices generally flat.
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Business activity growing at modest pace; service sector growing moderately; auto sales slow after winter weather; retailers and manufacturers report slight growth; commercial and residential construction demand moderate; tourism mixed; loan volumes down; most prices up.
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Economic activity improved moderately; price inflation was slight while wage inflation moderate; retail sales and consumer demand moderately increased; manufacturing activity improved on net; agricultural sector unchanged; real estate activity advanced mainly in commercial; loan volumes higher.
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Jennifer Coombs
Wall Street Strategies
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